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6. EVALUATION RESULTS

This section of the report presents and interprets the results of the evaluations conducted using the YC, CG, and EB approaches. Detailed results of all evaluations conducted as part of the study are presented in appendix C. This section focuses on those evaluation results that were found to be statistically significant. All tests of statistical significance in this report were performed at the 5 percent significance level (95 percent confidence level) unless otherwise stated.

The evaluation results are tabulated in several different ways in this section. First, results tables for each dependent variable and target area are presented. Then, the same results are tabulated and reviewed by project type.

Evaluation Results for Specific Safety Measures

Tables 28 through 40 present the evaluation results for specific safety measures. The results for four-leg intersections are presented first. There are more statistically significant analysis results for four-leg intersections than for three-leg intersections because there were more treated sites and more accidents per site for four-leg intersections. The tables and the safety measures presented for four-leg intersections include:

Each table shows all treatment effectiveness measures that were obtained for the YC, CG, and EB approaches. Only those results that were statistically significant are included. There is no table for project-related fatal and injury accidents on individual intersection approaches because none of the evaluation results for that safety measure were statistically significant for the YC approach and, because of low accident frequencies, appropriate regression models to conduct the CG and EB approaches could not be developed.

The tables and the safety measures presented for three-leg intersections include:

Table 28. Evaluation Results for Total Intersection Accidents at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs 2 -70.3 -35.2            
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 21 -58.8 -32.1 25 -60.6 -33.7 25 -49.6 -27.6
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs       15 -25.2 -12.6      
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs       29 -35.1 -22.6 -28 -22.0 -14.0
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs 24 -43.8 -22.4 28 -46.4 -24.1 25 -20.0 -10.4
Urban Signalized Added LTLs 33 -42.0 -13.0 37 -18.3 -5.8 39 -29.5 -9.5
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs 9 -21.3 -5.5 10 -26.6 -6.8 10 -27.8 -7.1
Urban Signalized Added RTLs             18 -9.0 -4.1
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs       3 42.3 25.4 3 49.5 29.7
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 8 -70.5 -35.2 9 -53.4 -26.7      
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs             3 -67.1 -40.3

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 29. Evaluation Results for Fatal and Injury Intersection Accidents at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs 2 -82.6 -41.3 2 -57.5 -28.7      
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 22 -70.4 -39.7 25 -73.9 -41.0 24 -63.4 -35.4
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs       15 -44.7 -22.3      
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs       29 -37.2 -23.4      
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs 23 -42.7 -21.8 28 -48.7 -25.2 14 -54.2 -28.1
Urban Signalized Added LTLs 35 -39.5 -12.4 39 -18.0 -5.8 39 -28.4 -9.2
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs       10 -45.9 -11.8 10 -45.2 -11.6
Urban Signalized Added RTLs             17 -20.6 -9.2
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 8 -79.5 -39.7 9 -58.8 -29.4      

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 30. Evaluation Results for Project-Related Intersection Accidents at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs             23 -66.2 -37.2
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs 35 -39.1 -12.6            
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs 7 -59.8 -15.5 9 -40.2 -10.3      
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 8 -79.0 -39.5 9 -60.4 -30.2 7 -51.2 -25.6
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 31. Evaluation Results for Project-Related Fatal and Injury Accidents at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUPa EMPIRICAL BAYESa
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 8 -81.5 -40.8            
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

a Because of small accident frequencies, regression models could not be developed for this safety measure. Therefore, the CG and EB evaluations could not be performed.

 

Table 32. Evaluation Results for Total Accidents on Individual Intersection Approaches at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs 4 -67.5 -67.5 4 -44.1 -44.1      
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs       2 -68.8 -34.4 2 -61.4 -30.7
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 40 -47.3 -47.3 50 -61.0 -61.0 50 -54.6 -54.6
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs       30 -27.9 -14.0      
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs       58 -31.6 -31.6 57 -26.7 -26.7
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs             4 -43.0 -43.0
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs 47 -55.0 -55.0 56 -45.7 -45.7 49 -28.0 -28.0
Urban Signalized Added LTLs 106 -42.0 -42.0 147 -28.0 -28.0 148 -34.2 -34.2
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs 32 -30.9 -15.4 39 -34.5 -17.2 38 -32.5 -16.2
Urban Signalized Added RTLs 28 -25.7 -25.7       67 -17.6 -17.6
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs       12 45.3 45.3 11 -57.8 -57.8
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 16 -69.4 -69.4 18 -54.4 -54.4 17 -20.1 -20.1
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs             2 -66.3 -33.1
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs             6 -75.8 -75.8

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 33. Evaluation Results for Fatal and Injury Accidents on Individual Intersection Approaches at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs       4 -76.4 -76.4 4 -42.1 -42.1
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs             2 -55.4 -27.7
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs       2 -65.6 -65.6      
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 41 -55.0 -55.0 50 -70.8 -70.8 49 -61.0 -61.0
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs       49 -48.1 -24.1      
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs       58 -37.0 -37.0 55 -24.3 -24.3
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs 49 -58.1 -58.1 55 -46.9 -46.9 48 -43.2 -43.2
Urban Signalized Added LTLs 114 -40.0 -40.0 154 -22.6 -22.6 122 -35.3 -35.3
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs 34 -35.4 -17.2 39 -49.7 -24.9 35 -53.4 -26.7
Urban Signalized Added RTLs             64 -22.2 -22.2
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 16 -77.8 -77.8 18 -55.4 -55.4      
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 34. Evaluation Results for Project-Related Accidents on Individual Intersection Approaches at Four-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
>Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs 115 -33.9 -33.9       127 -40.4 -40.4
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs 32 -59.7 -29.8 38 -39.1 -19.6 34 -49.5 -24.8
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 16 -78.1 -78.1 18 -60.5 -60.5 14 -50.5 -50.5
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 35. Evaluation Results for Total Intersection Accidents at Three-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 31 -63.7 -63.7 35 -53.5 -53.5 36 -43.7 -43.7
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs             12 -29.4 -23.5
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs       10 -35.0 -35.0 8 -33.2 -33.2
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

Table 36. Evaluation Results for Fatal and Injury Intersection Accidents at Three-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 34 -58.6 -58.6 35 -54.8 -54.8      
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

Table 37. Evaluation Results for Project-Related Intersection Accidents at Three-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs       35 -62.3 -62.3      
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

These tables are comparable to those presented above for four-leg intersections. There is no table for project-related fatal and injury accidents at three-leg intersections because no evaluation results for that accident type were statistically significant.

Evaluation Results for Specific Project Types

The evaluation results for specific project types are presented in tables 41 through 46. Specifically, the evaluation results by project type for four-leg intersections are presented in the following tables:

The evaluation results by project type for three-leg intersections are presented in:

There were no statistically significant evaluation results for projects involving addition of both left- and right-turn lanes or extension of the length of existing turn lanes at three-leg intersections, so no tables of evaluation results are presented for these project types.

The results in tables 41 through 46 are drawn from, and are identical to, the results in tables 28 through 40. However, results for the safety measures involving project-related fatal and injury accidents are omitted because only the YC approach could be evaluated for those cases and, even for the YC approach, very few statistically significant results were obtained due to low accident frequencies analyzed.

The next section addresses the choice among the alternative analysis methods presented in these tables. Then, the results for the specific project types can be interpreted.

Table 38. Evaluation Results for Total Accidents on Individual Intersection Approaches at Three-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs 4 -67.5 -67.5            
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs 34 -47.5 -47.5 70 -51.9 -51.9 62 -45.2 -45.2
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs             9 -49.3 -49.3
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added RTLs             3 -44.5 -44.5
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs 10 -55.4 -55.4 20 -54.4 -54.4 16 -32.3 -32.3
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

Table 39. Evaluation Results for Fatal and Injury Accidents on Individual Intersection Approaches at Three-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs       70 -43.6 -43.6      
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added LTLs             9 -47.6 -47.6
Urban Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Added RTLs                  
Urban Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Urban Unsignalized Added RTLs                  

Note: Only statistically significant evaluation results are shown.

 

Table 40. Evaluation Results for Project-Related Accidents on Individual Intersection Approaches at Three-Leg Intersections.
Area type Traffic control type Project type YOKED COMPARISON COMPARISON GROUP EMPIRICAL BAYES
No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency No. of improved sites Percent change in accident frequency
for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane for entire project for one turn lane
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Newly Signalized Added RTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs                  
Rural Signalized Extended LTLs and RTLs                  
Rural Unsignalized Added LTLs       70 -64.3 -64.3